Wednesday, July 27, 2005
The NFL Draft and Market Efficiency
NFL and Finance by Massey & Thaler Massey and Thaler use football (the NFL) to demonstrate that markets may not be "rational."From their abstract:"Using archival data on draft-day trades, player performance and compensation, we compare the market value of draft picks with the historical value of drafted players. We find that top draft picks are overvalued in a manner that is inconsistent with
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market efficiency
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